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UK Coal recovery continues

RESULTS: UK Coal continues to recover, although its painful debt pile remains a concern
August 24, 2011

UK Coal continues to show tentative signs of recovery, with production in the first half of 4.1m tonnes marking a significant increase on the 2.7m tonnes achieved in the same period last year. Indeed, production was higher in all three deep mines, which collectively produced 3.1m tonnes.

IC TIP: Hold at 39p

But maintaining strong output over the second half depends on overcoming potential difficulties at Daw Mill, the largest producer, where UK Coal must change the mining face, mine through a geological fault and agree terms and conditions with its workforce. The debt pile remains a concern, too. Losses of some £270m over the last three years have left net debt at a heavy £207m. Without the disposal of properties - which realised a net £53.8m, of which £34.9m was received in the period - net debt would have increased further due to working capital movements.

In the second half, management will start negotiations for coal sales beyond the current low-priced contractual commitments that have dragged on earnings. These will reflect much more favourable current prices, although management recognises that it has in the past over-contracted its production.

Evolution Securities expects full-year pre-tax profit of £29.4m and EPS of 9.8p.

UK COAL (UKC)
ORD PRICE:39pMARKET VALUE:£117m
TOUCH:38-39p12-MONTH HIGH:57pLOW: 32p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:24pNET DEBT*:284%

Half-yearto 25 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2010141-93.2-30.7nil
201125622.17.40nil
% change+81---

*Excludes restricted cash of £23.9m

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