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Senegal offers hope for Cairn

Encouraging exploration results and an ongoing tax saga on the Indian subcontinent framed Cairn Energy's full-year report.
March 10, 2015

Cairn Energy (CNE) reported a full-year operating loss of $372m (£248m) - less than half the 2013 figure. The company also made a highly promising offshore discovery during the year in Senegal's Atlantic margin, in which Edinburgh-based Cairn holds a 40 per cent interest. But the most noteworthy event last year was the introduction of retrospective tax legislation by Indian authorities, which has restricted the group from selling its 10 per cent residual shareholding in Cairn India.

IC TIP: Hold at 192p

Cairn doesn't appear any closer to clarifying whether there are any further liabilities on income tax assessments filed in 2007 - the year in which the oil group floated its Indian division. In any case, the fair value of the residual holding has been reduced by a third as oil prices have slumped during the enforced delay to the sale.

On a more positive note, the Senegal discoveries identified substantial oil-bearing zones with a midpoint gross estimate of 1.28bn barrels. Cairn and its partners in Senegal, including ConocoPhillips and local player Petrosen, will submit an evaluation plan to authorities in May. This is likely to propose that three firm and three optional wells are launched in 2015.

CAIRN ENERGY (CNE)
ORD PRICE:192pMARKET VALUE:£1.1bn
TOUCH:191-192p12M HIGH / LOW:211p141p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:NA
NET ASSET VALUE:462¢*NET CASH:$869m

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
2010nil-0.3-55.0nil
2011nil-1.2-96.0nil
2012nil-0.211.0nil
2013nil-1.1-93.2nil
2014nil-0.6-66.5nil
% change----

Ex-div: na

Payment: na

*Includes intangible assets of $562m, or 98¢ a share. £1=$1.50