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Cobham's profits come under fire

Increased exposure to commercial markets boosted sales last year, but at tighter margins
March 6, 2015

Despite Cobham's (COB) best efforts to increase its exposure to commercial communications and aviation markets, currency effects and lower defence spending once again grabbed the headlines.

IC TIP: Sell at 326p

Following the $1.5bn (£869m) acquisition of New York-based rival Aeroflex, 39 per cent of Cobham's revenues come from the fast-moving microelectronics and wireless communication markets. Strip out a hefty currency hit and that shift in focus drove order intake up by two-fifths and sales up by 9 per cent. But while a decent early contribution from Aeroflex and strong performances from Cobham's aviation services and SATCOM units supported the top line, they weren't sufficient to arrest a slump in profits.

That's due to a reduction in high-margin business from land conflict in places such as Afghanistan. Cobham's cost-cutting initiatives were not enough to make up for an increase in lower-margin engineering work, triggering a 220 basis point drop in adjusted operating margins to 15.5 per cent. Operating profits also took sizeable one-off hits due to currency losses (£13m) and a provision against cost overruns within its aerial refuelling development programme (£15m).

Broker Investec expects adjusted pre-tax profit of £301m in 2015, giving EPS of 20.8p (from 18.3p in 2014).

COBHAM (COB)
ORD PRICE:326pMARKET VALUE:£3.7bn
TOUCH:325-326p12-MONTH HIGH:349pLOW 258p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.3%PE RATIO:125
NET ASSET VALUE:98p*NET DEBT:110%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20101.9018913.36.00
20111.8523416.88.00
20121.7520416.08.80
20131.7912710.79.68
20141.85242.610.65
% change+3-81-76+10

Ex-div: 30 Apr

Payment: 29 May

*Includes intangible assets of £2bn, or 175p a share