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No near-term support for Hochschild

SHARE TIP: Despite progress on the cost front, Hochschild Mining's capital commitments for this year could weigh on the share price, particularly as the Latin American miner has cancelled its full-year dividend.
March 20, 2014

We initially became concerned about the rating for Hochschild Mining (HOC) in the wake of last April's collapse in precious metals prices. With unavoidable - and weighty - capital commitments and falling sales receipts, we felt that market sentiment would invariably weigh on valuations for the Latin American miner. Since we expressed our reservations on the release of Hochschild's half-year results (sell, 227p, 21 Aug 2013), its share price performance has been volatile, and is currently 22 per cent down from our August call. But with the company's enterprise value representing 22 times consensus forecasts for operating profits over the next 12 months, and at a 25 per cent premium to book value, there's reason to think that Hochschild could lose further support, particularly in light of the cancellation of its full-year dividend.

IC TIP: Sell at 193p
Tip style
Sell
Risk rating
Medium
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points
  • Capital commitments
  • Cancellation of dividend
  • Silver surplus predicted
  • High rating
Bear points
  • Cost-cutting
  • Inmaculada project on track
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