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A deep value mining play with great assets

Having endured a period of consolidation, the outlook for the mining sector is set to improve, says Simon Thompson
March 1, 2024
  • Gold miners are materially undervalued
  • This firm earns valuable royalties
  • There is significant hidden balance sheet value

 

The twin headwinds of a subdued outlook for global economic growth and the determination of central banks to hold interest rates high to combat inflation have maintained pressure on miners’ share prices. However, the shifting macroeconomic environment and the end of interest rate hiking cycles should boost investor sentiment towards mining equities.

In absolute terms, the Bloomberg Commodity index is valued at 0.94 times the value of the FTSE All-World index, representing a 21 per cent discount to its 30-year average of 1.2 times, and more than 60 per cent below its peak valuation in 2012. Of course, the subdued performance over the past couple of years also reflects the cyclical nature of the mining industry and capital investment trends. 

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