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Can you beat the market by randomly picking stocks?

An unscientific attempt to get around our investment biases with pure luck
March 29, 2023
  • Random stockpicking has an appeal
  • ... but isn’t working with UK shares
  • Lots of idea generating content

Just because an investment idea initially sounds smart doesn’t mean it is sound. As Investors’ Chronicle’s de facto Ideas editor, I can say this with a degree of authority. Often, what first appears to be a lightbulb shatters under further scrutiny or real-world conditions.

A cursory scan of my own notes and unfinished to-do lists reveals lots of clever duds. One such idea I am repeatedly drawn to, for example, is randomness. As I will unpack below, taking a blindfolded dart-throwing approach to the stock market hasn’t worked very well of late, especially for UK shares. But there are a few reasons why randomised stockpicking has a certain appeal.

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