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Ocado eternally optimistic

RESULTS: Ocado is still in the red, but believes that imminent resolution of its warehouse problems will get growth back on track
January 31, 2012

Looking beyond the barrage of proprietary metrics and acronyms that Ocado presents in its financial results, there's only one number that investors really need to pay attention to: the bottom line. Suffice to say, Ocado once again failed to deliver a full-year pre-tax profit.

IC TIP: Sell at 84p

Despite managing a small half-year profit, difficulties at its customer fulfilment centre (CFC) meant it failed to build on this – even though it reported a decent 16 per cent net sales growth in the period. Ocado also blamed ongoing upgrade work at its CFC for an across-the-board deterioration in its service metrics, most notably a 260 basis point fall in on-time deliveries to 92.3 per cent. Meanwhile, the group more than doubled capital expenditure to £126m as it splashed out on a second CFC and an expansion of its existing delivery network. That took net debt to £19m, with £79m of borrowing facilities remaining and significant expenditure still to come ahead of the opening of the second CFC in a year's time.

Broker Panmure Gordon expects a full-year loss per share of 1.94p (0.75p loss per share for 2011).

OCADO (OCDO)

ORD PRICE:84pMARKET VALUE:£469m
TOUCH:83-84p12-MONTH HIGH:290pLOW: 52p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:NA
NET ASSET VALUE:31pNET DEBT: 11%

Year to 27 NovTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2007273-40.2-12.1nil
2008321-33.3-9.80nil
2009402-25.5-6.10nil
2010516-12.1-1.63nil
2011598-2.42-0.10nil
% change+16---