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Flybe shares level out

RESULTS: It's losing money now, but management has taken action and Flybe should take off once the UK economy improves
June 11, 2012

A struggling domestic economy and sharply higher fuel prices have already forced profit warnings from Flybe, and conditions remain tough. Still, these results weren’t quite as bad as feared and the share price descent, which began last summer, could well have run its course.

IC TIP: Hold at 65p

Last year's £5.7m pre-tax profit at the core UK operation did, however, morph into a £2.2m loss, despite a 2 per cent increase in passenger numbers. Half a year’s trading from the Finnair joint venture added £63.5m to the fledgling European division’s top line, but Flybe’s share of the losses cost it £3m, and a new £1.2m training academy meant the support business lost money, too. Fuel costs rose 15 per cent and airport charges added an extra £4.5m.

But management hasn't been idle. Managing costs and capacity are "mitigating the impact of the economic downturn in the UK," reckons chairman and chief executive Jim French. Flybe also sold planes, introduced fuel surcharges and announced new routes following bmibaby's demise. Taking on more contract flying is de-risking the business, too.

Investec Securities expects adjusted pre-tax profit of £0.5m in 2013, giving EPS of 0.5p (2012: £7.4m loss/10.1p loss per share).

FLYBE (FLYB)

ORD PRICE:65pMARKET VALUE:£ 48.8m
TOUCH:65-66p12-MONTH HIGH:200pLOW:  48p 
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:NA
NET ASSET VALUE 119pNET DEBT:33%

Year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201057124.642.0nil
2011596-4.306.40nil
2012615-6.20-8.50nil
% change+3---