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Booker bucks the trend

RESULTS: Cash and carry operator, Booker, has bucked the trend of retail gloom, while its acquisition of rival Makro offers long-term potential
October 18, 2012

Cash and carry operator Booker (BOK) bucked the trend of retail gloom after reporting impressive half-year progress. Like-for-like sales grew 3.1 per cent in the period, with underlying non-tobacco sales having risen 3.8 per cent. Booker’s acquisition of rival Makro offers plenty of long-term potential, too, which leave the shares - despite a fairly punchy rating - set for further long-term upside.

IC TIP: Buy at 96.5p

That’s not to say that Booker doesn't face challenges, however, and integrating the Makro acquisition - purchased from German retail giant, Metro in May - could take time. That's because Booker must operate Makro separately until it has obtained clearance for the deal from competition regulators. Moreover, Makro itself isn't in great shape - its sales are expected to slide 9.1 per cent in the year to end-December and post an operating loss of £18m. Assuming Booker can get to work on Makro from January - and that’s not certain - management reckons the business will slice £10m from the group’s full-year profits.

But the longer-term benefits of the deal look impressive. Booker thinks it can deliver £26m of cost savings from a successful integration and that, by March 2014, Makro should be generating an operating profit of about £10m. Analysts at UBS think the move will transform Booker into a business with annual turnover in the region of £6bn in the medium-term, compared with around £4bn presently.

Operationally, meanwhile, Booker opened a further 85 Premier stores in the latest six month trading period, bringing the total estate to 2,724. Management also converted a further three stores to the Extra format, which offers a broader product range and improved customer environment - bringing the total here to 145. The company is making progress online, too, and sales here jumped 10.7 per cent to £332m, representing 17.5 per cent of the sales mix up up from 16.2 per cent a year ago.

Broker Investec Securities has upgraded its full-year estimates by roughly 1 per cent and now expects adjusted pre-tax profit of £90m and adjusted EPS of 4.26p (2012: £84.5m/4.4p), rising to £112m and 5.2p, respectively, in the 12 months to March 2014.

BOOKER (BOK)

ORD PRICE:96.5pMARKET VALUE:£1,665m
TOUCH:96.5-96.6p12-MONTH HIGH:98.3pLOW: 69.4p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.4%PE RATIO:19
NET ASSET VALUE:29p*NET CASH:£69.8m

Half-year to 14 SepTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20111.8545.02.350.33
20121.9151.02.500.38
% change+3+13+6+15

Ex-div: 21 Oct

Payment: 30 Nov

*Includes intangible assets of £437m, or 25p a share