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Aberforth's value likely to endure

Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust continues to perform well while many of the companies it invests in have higher dividend cover and better scope for dividend growth than large caps.
December 11, 2013

Earlier this year, we tipped Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust (ASL) on the grounds that its performance had improved and this looked set to continue (read the tip). We were right: between the investment trust's half-year results in July and late November, the share price rose a further 12 per cent, according to analysts at Oriel who maintain their 'positive' stance on the trust.

IC TIP: Buy at 1024p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points
  • Good performance likely to continue
  • Dividend growth potential
  • Low ongoing charge
  • Downside mitigation in market fall
Bear points
  • Five-year performance not as strong

The trust has delivered the strongest net asset value (NAV) performance of any smaller companies investment trust over one year, and one of the best over three years, as well as being well ahead of its benchmark, the Numis Smaller Companies Index (excluding Investment Companies). Its share price beats the sector average over those periods and is well ahead of the benchmark.

And performance looks like it will continue to do well. Many of the companies the trust invests in are good dividend payers and, while their yields may be lower than those of large caps, dividend cover is higher and scope for dividend growth is generally better.

"Some might be tempted to switch out of value focus funds such as Aberforth Smaller Companies back to growth oriented funds such as (IC Top 100 Fund) Standard Life UK Smaller Companies (SLS) after Aberforth's recent spurt, but in Aberforth's view the value catch up is only just starting to play out and there will be plenty more relative performance gains to come," says Tom Tuite Dalton, an analyst at Oriel Securities. "Aberforth's data suggest that value should continue to outperform growth in 2014 and beyond. Valuations are seen as reasonable, new opportunities abound, and mergers and acquisitions activity has barely started. On a five-year view, it seems likely that the trust will provide solid absolute and relative performance."

Major drivers of performance so far this year have been holdings in CSR (CSR), JD Sports (JD.) and Thomas Cook (TCG).

Mr Tuite Dalton also likes Aberforth's forensic, analytical, bottom-up approach; the importance it attaches to balance sheet strength and how the managers buy on a low price to book value and sell on a high one. "The large size of the trust makes it an ideal core holding for UK small-cap exposure," he adds.

 

IC TIP RATING
Tip style:GROWTH
Risk rating:HIGH
Timescale:LONG TERM

 

If there is a market fall Aberforth will not be immune but it is likely to fall less than a growth-oriented fund. "The portfolio price-earnings ratio is still on a 20 per cent discount to the benchmark, Numis Smaller Companies ex Investment Companies, as the managers have been taking profits in former value stocks now on high price-to-book values such as housebuilders, and switching into the new value, for example, resource stock Kenmare Resources (KMR)," explains Mr Tuite Dalton.

The trust faces a continuation vote in February but is expected to pass it.

Aberforth Smaller Companies is on a discount to NAV of 9.91 per cent, which is tighter than its 12-month average of 11.15 per cent, but it is still tighter than some of its peers such as IC Top 100 Funds Standard Life UK Smaller Companies, which is on a slight premium, or BlackRock Smaller Companies (BRSC) on 5.67 per cent.

Aberforth Smaller Companies' performance is not so strong over five years. But that was due to the trust experiencing a period of underperformance because over the five calendar years from 2007 to 2011 value shares within the Numis Smaller Companies Index, from which this trust picks its holdings, underperformed growth shares by 9.4 per cent a year.

And the trust offers something different to the other investment trusts in the UK smaller companies sector, as it focuses on value rather than growth: its managers buy shares in companies they calculate to be selling below their intrinsic value. This is determined through detailed financial and industrial analysis, combined with a valuation approach that focuses on both the stock market and corporate worth.

The trust also has a very reasonable ongoing charge of 0.81 per cent, so is still worth considering. Buy.

 

ABERFORTH SMALLER COMPANIES TRUST (ASL)

PRICE

1024p

GEARING

102%

AIC SECTOR

UK Smaller Companies

NAV

1122.26p

FUND TYPE

Investment trust

PRICE DISCOUNT TO NAV

-9.91%

MARKET CAP

£976.72m

YIELD

2.21%

No OF HOLDINGS

93*

ONGOING CHARGE

0.81%

SET UP DATE

10-Dec-90

MORE DETAILS

www.aberforth.co.uk

Source: Morningstar, *Aberforth.

 

1 year cumulative share price return (%)

3 year cumulative share price return (%)

5 year cumulative share price return (%)

Aberforth Smaller Companies Ord

56.90

88.25

280.71

Numis SC Ex Invt Com TR GBP

35.49

63.46

251.77

AIC Sector Average

44.90

78.20

334.11

Performance data as at 6 December 2012

 

TOP TEN HOLDINGS as at 30 November 2013

JD Sports Fashion

3.6

QinetiQ Group

3

RPC Group

2.7

Northgate

2.6

St Modwen Properties

2.6

e2v technologies

2.3

RPS Group

2.2

Shanks Group

2.1

CSR

2

Tullett Prebon

2

 

Sector breakdown

Oil & gas

4

Basic materials

4

Industrials

35

Consumer goods

4

Health care

3

Consumer services

21

Telecommunications

1

Financials

17

Technology

11