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Overseas growth boosts Prudential

RESULTS: Fast growth in Asia and a decent performance in the more mature US market have helped life assurer Prudential beat analysts' expectations
March 12, 2014

The slide in reported earnings at Prudential (PRU) doesn’t do justice to the life assurer’s robust performance last year. The fall merely reflected short-term fluctuations in the investment return. Operating profit actually jumped 17 per cent to £2.95bn, which beat consensus estimates by 5 per cent and helped push the shares up around 4 per cent on the day the figures appeared.

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As usual, Prudential’s growth is being generated far from the UK. In Asia, new business sales jumped 12 per cent and operating profit rose 16 per cent to £1.08bn. Prudential has now met the target set in 2010 of doubling its profits in Asia. But more is to come. "The Asian pie is growing faster than we can eat it," explains chief executive Tidjane Thiam. "Asia’s middle class is larger than the entire EU". Prudential has updated it targets for Asia and plans to generate over £1.86bn in operating profit in the region by 2017. That should be supported by an expanded bancassurance agreement with Asian-focused lender Standard Chartered (STAN), which was announced alongside these results.

Prudential’s mature US market is also bounding ahead, reflecting robust demand from retiring baby-boomers. Prudential’s Jackson operation in the country has boosted new business sales by 8 per cent, largely thanks to the popularity of the group’s variable annuity product, launched in early 2012. Overall, US operating profit jumped 30 per cent to £1.3bn.

The UK life business was rather weaker, although that was significantly down to regulatory change. Specifically, the implementation of gender-neutral pricing meant annuity sales were concentrated in 2012, while the introduction of the Retail Distribution Review (banning commissions) had a similar impact on onshore bond sales. UK new business sales fell 13 per cent, limiting the group-wide rise in new-business sales to just 5 per cent.

Prior to these figures, JP Morgan Cazenove was expecting EPS of 86.8p this year (2013: 52.7p), but given the robust performance upgrades look likely. The broker also expected embedded value to rise to 1,060p.

PRUDENTIAL (PRU)

ORD PRICE:1,410pMARKET VALUE:£36.1bn
TOUCH:1,409-1,410p12-MONTH HIGH:1,440pLOW: 1,011p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.4%PE RATIO:27
NET ASSET VALUE:377p*EMBEDDED VALUE:971p

Year to 31 DecGross life premiums (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200920.31.627.619.9
201024.62.156.723.9
201125.71.855.825.2
201229.13.185.129.19
201330.52.152.833.57
% change+5-32-38+15

Ex-div:26 Mar

Payment:22 May

*Includes intangible assets of of £7bn or 274p a share