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Mitchells & Butlers still worth ordering

RESULTS: It’s hard going, but we still like Mitchells & Butlers’ recovery story
May 23, 2014

A busy Christmas re-ignited interest in Mitchells & Butlers (MAB), owner of Harvester, Toby Carvery and All Bar One, helping our well-timed buy tip (393p, 31 Oct 2013) serve up a 26 per cent gain in just four months. These half-year numbers met expectations, and clarity on pension funding was welcome. But both that festive cheer and the six-year share-price high are a distant memory. Patience is required.

IC TIP: Buy at 408p

Like-for-like sales grew just 1.1 per cent, and underlying pre-tax profit was only marginally higher at £77m, held back in part by Easter, which fell outside the period this year. Food volumes, which dropped sharply in 2013, recovered slightly, while drink volumes were little changed after a 6 per cent slump a year ago.

Net debt remains stable at £1.7bn, or 4.1 times annualised cash profits. Moreover, with the triennial pensions valuation now agreed – annual contributions rise from £40m to £45m for the next three years, with RPI-linked increases thereafter – chief executive Alistair Darby can begin thinking about a return to the dividend list, perhaps at the full-year results.

Broker Panmure Gordon expects full-year adjusted pre-tax profit of £186m, giving adjusted EPS of 35.5p (2013: £184m/34.7p).

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS (MAB)

ORD PRICE:408pMARKET VALUE:£ 1.7bn
TOUCH:408-409p12-MONTH HIGH:495pLow:    346p 
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:311pNET DEBT:135%

Half-year to 12 AprTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20131.068.013.4nil
20141.068.012.9nil
% change+3--4-