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Polypipe is built to conquer

A growing need for plastic in construction leaves Polypipe poised for a significant re-rating
April 1, 2015

As a plastic-pipes market leader, Polypipe (PLP) is a huge beneficiary of the UK construction renaissance and legislation concerning flood risk and energy consumption. These factors helped drive sales up 9 per cent to £327m in the group's first full-year results since its IPO last April, and set the trend for what we believe will be an exciting few years ahead.

IC TIP: Buy at 259p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
Medium
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points
  • Beneficiary of UK construction boom
  • Margins significantly higher than peers
  • Products cater to legislation drivers
  • Trades at a discount to peers
Bear points
  • Weak French housing market
  • Net debt balance of £76.9m

Growing demand for Polypipe's drainage, plumbing, ventilation and water management products for residential and commercial construction markets saw underlying operating profits grow 17 per cent last year to £46.3m, as margins widened by 1 percentage point to 14.2 per cent. Management attributes the group's sector-high margins - cash profit margins are about double that of its closest peers - to years of investment in broadening the product range, increasing value-added services and improving machinery.

 

 

During the recession, efforts were made to strengthen the group's salesforce and technical team to drive up demand and efficiency. Added-value services are considered a key part of the package and Polypipe now boasts an offering that is of unique breadth in the sector, covering design, manufacturing, delivery and technical support to its growing list of happy customers.

Another aspect that sets Polypipe apart from its rivals is its move into water management and carbon-efficient solutions. New products in these spaces give the group exposure to legislation aimed at reducing flood risk and encouraging use of higher-performance ventilation systems, as well as growth areas such as underfloor heating.

Plastic is increasingly viewed as a much more efficient material to use in construction than traditional materials such as copper, concrete and clay, as it is lighter and easier to install, maintain and recycle. As the biggest UK company in the field, and one of the biggest in Europe, too, that's clearly good news for Polypipe's future prospects.

The company isn't overly concerned that competitors will catch up with it either, as it claims Polypipe's 20,000-plus products took years to get approved in a sector with high barriers to entry. The group's extensive sales and distribution channels, meanwhile, also offer a key advantage.

Not so positive, however, is the group's small operation in France, which accounts for 16 per cent of revenue and continues to struggle with the country's fragile economy and rising VAT on property renovation. Management also blamed destocking by distributors for a 6 per cent fall in second-half constant-currency sales there, but is hopeful about government plans to support energy-efficiency improvements.

Net debt is expected to continue falling, having already been reduced by 9 per cent in 2014 to £76.9m. Ending a big cycle of investment, coupled with strong cash flow, means analysts at Numis expect this figure to slide a further third in the current year to £51.3m. Indeed, solid prospects and strong cash generation is expected to drive healthy dividend growth in coming years.

POLYPIPE (PLP)
ORD PRICE:259pMARKET VALUE:£516m
TOUCH:257-264p12M HIGH / LOW:281p224p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:3.2%FORWARD PE RATIO:12
NET ASSET VALUE:119p*NET DEBT:32%

Year to 31 Dec 2014Turnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)**Earnings per share (p)**Dividend per share (p)
201228220.510.1nil
201330124.510.0nil
201432737.616.14.50
2015**34446.119.37.73
2016**36252.120.88.33
% change+5+13+8+8

Normal market size: 2,000

Matched bargain trading

Beta:0.53

*Includes intangible assets of £235m, or 118p a share

**Numis Securities forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures