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Arrow Global confounds doubters as banks delever

Debt purchaser Arrow Global is reaping the rewards of bank deleveraging.
March 7, 2016

For banks, cleaning up their balance sheets and reducing leverage has become more important than ever following the introduction of more stringent capital requirements. It is against this regulatory backdrop that Arrow Global (ARW) - which buys up distressed debt from mainstream lenders - has prospered. Last year the group grew its adjusted cash profit by more than half to £153m.

IC TIP: Buy at 246p

Arrow invested £180m in such loan portfolios during the year, with a face value of £1.5bn. This was well in excess of its £68m target replacement rate. The group's total purchased loan portfolio now stands at £586m, up by over a fifth on the previous year, and has a face value of £14.2bn. Arrow Global uses its in-house data systems to track down customers and pursue repayments, before setting up a repayment plan. The group's success in this was demonstrated by an increase of almost half in its core debt collections at £219m.

The group acquired Portuguese loan services Whitestar and Gesphone, as it grew its presence in a country where bank deleveraging is already well advanced. Management's aim is to also expand further into the Netherlands and France.

Analysts at Numis expect adjusted pre-tax profit of £58m in 2016, giving adjusted EPS of 26.4p (from 20p in 2015).

ARROW GLOBAL (ARW)

ORD PRICE:245.8pMARKET VALUE:£429m
TOUCH:245.5-247.3p12-MONTH HIGH:290pLOW: 196p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.9%PE RATIO:14
NET ASSET VALUE:83p**NET DEBT:£589m

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2011*506.20.5nil
2012*6612.17.0nil
20139321.010.0nil
201411124.110.05.1
201516639.318.07.1
% change+50+63+80+39

Ex-div: 9 Jun

Payment: 7 Jul

*Prior to flotation

**Includes intangible assets of £100m, or 57p a share