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Compass dishes up strong growth

RESULTS: Compass is making fat profits in the US and emerging markets, but the shares look pricey
November 27, 2013

Feeding hungry Americans, and a growing appetite for its services in emerging markets, helped boost organic revenue at catering heavyweight Compass (CPG) by over 4 per cent last year. Operating profit before hefty write-downs and restructuring costs rose 8 per cent to £1.27bn, and a larger than expected £500m share buy-back for 2014 encouraged the shares to a record high.

IC TIP: Hold at 948p

That’s Compass’ reward for getting the operating profit margin above 7 per cent for the first time. North America, which now accounts for over 46 per cent of sales, grew organic revenue by 8 per, driven by new contract with Ascension Health and Texas A&M University. Profit there grew even faster, to £657m, and both US healthcare and education remain a huge opportunity for Compass. Strip-out a currency hit and profit in fast growing and emerging markets grew 7 per cent to £242m, despite the slowdown there. Compass could even make money in China next year and Brazil is generating double-digit growth. Even in Europe and Japan operating margins grew 60 basis points as cost-cutting offset another fall in like-for-like volumes.

Broker Numis Securities expects adjusted pre-tax profit of £1.26bn in 2014, giving adjusted EPS of 51.9p (from £1.19bn/47.7p in 2013).

COMPASS (CPG)

ORD PRICE:948pMARKET VALUE:£17.0bn
TOUCH:947-948p12-MONTH HIGH:959pLOW:   712p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.5%PE RATIO:41
NET ASSET VALUE 155p*NET DEBT:43%

Year to 30 SepTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£bn)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200913.80.7729.513.2
201014.50.9135.317.5
201115.80.9636.419.3
201216.90.7932.121.3
201317.60.7223.324.0
% change+4-9-27+13

Ex-div: 22 Jan

Payment: 24 Feb

*Includes intangible assets of £4.5bn, or 251p per share