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Paragon bounds ahead

RESULTS: Strong demand from private landlords is still driving progress at buy-to-let mortgage specialist Paragon
May 21, 2014

A booming market for rented homes helped buy-to-let specialist Paragon (PAG) beat brokers' expectations for first-half earnings. With the size of the market still "materially below" its pre-crisis peak, chief executive Nigel Terrington is expecting more growth ahead, too.

IC TIP: Buy at 374p

Robust demand from private landlords lifted advances of buy-to-let loans to £269m - up from just £102m the year before - and the loan pipeline of over £348m at the end of the period suggests impressive second-half prospects. With £550m of warehouse loan facilities, Paragon looks well-placed to fund its growth. Meanwhile, the proportion of buy-to-let loans in arrears fell to a tiny 0.3 per cent of the book, from 0.4 per cent a year earlier. That easily beat the sector average of 0.95 per cent.

Paragon isn't just a buy-to-let play, though. Its Idem business is growing fast by acquiring consumer loan books from banks; profits in the unit grew 39 per cent to £21.2m. Paragon also received a licence for its banking unit in February. That has made a start in motor finance and its ability to take retail deposits could eventually provide an important further source of funding.

Broker Jefferies expects full-year adjusted EPS of 31.4p (28.4p in 2013).

PARAGON GROUP OF COMPANIES (PAG)

ORD PRICE:374pMARKET VALUE:£1.15bn
TOUCH:374-375p12-MONTH HIGH:426pLOW: 282p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.1%PE RATIO:12
NET ASSET VALUE:297p 

Half-year to 31 MarPre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201348.812.62.4
201458.2153
% change+19+19+25

Ex-div: 2 Jul

Payment: 25 Jul