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Berkeley goes from strength to strength

RESULTS: Housing completions and operating margins are now above the levels seen before the crash
June 19, 2014

Berkeley Group (BKG) delivered all the trading superlatives expected of a house builder in the middle of a boom cycle. It built 3,742 new homes in the year to April - 30 per cent more than at the peak of the market in 2007.

IC TIP: Buy at 2,200p

The London-focused builder also announced a further dividend of 90p a share, putting it firmly on course to achieve its target, announced two years ago, of paying £13 a share in dividends by 2021. This was underwritten by a 57 per cent leap in the cash due on forward sales, now £2.27bn, which is more than the projected turnover for the current year forecast by broker Numis.

Pre-tax profits jumped 40 per cent to £380m, and the pre-tax return on equity rose from 22.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent. A change in the mix of residential properties sold explains much of the increase in average selling prices from £354,000 to £423,000. This helped drive operating margins up from 20.4 per cent to 23.1 per cent, well above the peak of 20.8 per cent touched in 2007-08.

Around £353m was invested in nine new sites sufficient to build 2,500 homes. The land bank now stands at over 24,000 plots, with an estimated future gross margin of £3bn. On top of this, Berkeley has 11,000 plots in its strategic land bank (without planning consent), with a potential gross margin of £1.5bn.

Analysts at Numis have upgraded their forecasts for the current year to pre-tax profit of £510m and EPS of 294p.

BERKELEY (BKG)
ORD PRICE:2,200pMARKET VALUE:£2.98bn
TOUCH:2,198-2,200p12-MONTH HIGH:2,808pLOW: 2,003p
DIVIDEND YIELD:8.2%PE RATIO:10
NET ASSET VALUE:1,064pNET CASH:£129m

Year to 30 AprTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20100.6211060nil
20110.7413672nil
20121.04215121nil
20131.3727116074
20141.62380222180
% change+18+40+39+143

Ex-div:20 Aug

Payment:26 Sep