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Buy dependable Schroders

Schroders is a top-rated fund manager for a reason, but there is some value yet in the current share price
August 6, 2015

Schroders (SDR) is an asset manager built for the ultra-low interest rates that dominate developed economies. In this environment, investors are increasingly turning to stocks, or higher-yielding bond strategies to deliver the returns and income that they can't receive in traditional fixed income. They are also looking to diversify their holdings in a bid to ride out market volatility through the use of multi-asset strategies - this is especially true of institutional investors, mindful of the impact of the financial crisis on their funding levels. Finally, developed world stock markets have become increasingly popular as the ebullience has been sucked out of emerging markets, followed quickly by fund flows.

IC TIP: Buy at 3,169p
Tip style
Value
Risk rating
Medium
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points
  • Diversified product range
  • Half-year inflows ahead
  • Retail and institutional products strong
  • Cazenove integration complete
Bear points
  • Always vulnerable to bear markets
  • Needs to develop wealth management

Shares in Schroders currently trade at a premium to its rival listed managers because the company plays into all these trends. It caters for both retail and institutional investors and, in terms of investment strategies, its developed market equities, multi-asset and fixed-income funds are especially well situated given the trends in the industry.

 

 

And currently there is an opportunity for investors to get their hands on Schroders at a reasonable price. The fund manager's shares trade on a Bloomberg consensus multiple of 17 times the next 12 months' earnings. This falls just below the top quartile of its forward PE ratio for the past three years. So hardly cheap but, as the shares are not in the top quarter of its near-term historical rating, investors could take advantage of this momentary slowing of the train to jump aboard. If they do so, they will find a business in rude health. Profit before tax, excluding the effect of the acquisition of Cazenove in 2013, was up 17 per cent to £306m in the first half, compared with the same period in the previous financial year. That paid for a 21 per cent hike in the half-year dividend to 29p a share. What's more, net fund inflows of £8.8bn for the period were almost double that of the comparable period, with those inflows falling fairly evenly between retail and institutional business.

On the institutional side, the manager is continuing to build its base. Earlier this year the world's largest pension fund, Japan's Government Pension Investment Fund, handed Schroders, alongside Japanese fund manager Daiwa SB Investments, a mandate for domestic equity investment. The institutional investor's decision to pivot away from its traditional conservative bond-buying strategy both to chase higher returns and to support its home equity market was a major shift, and a great scalp for Schroders. The fund manager has also sold a lot of fixed-income mandates into Japan, demonstrating the strength of its distribution.

Closer to home, like fellow London-listed managers Jupiter Fund Management (JUP) and Henderson (HGG), Schroders continues to be boosted by renewed appetite for equities among European retail investors. Quantitative easing and a regional, if stuttering, economic recovery have encouraged investors to move more funds into the stock market, and a growing amount came Schroders' way in the first half.

An area that has further to go is wealth management, although Schroders has lost only one of the clients of Cazenove that it acquired in 2013. The integration of the teams is now complete and, while wealth management attracted net inflows of just £0.4bn in the first half, Schroders bosses say it is exceeding their expectations. "At the end of the year we set out a sales target of 2-3 per cent growth and we have actually delivered 5 per cent," says Schroders' chief financial officer, Richard Keers.

Schroders is also making sizeable investment in its systems, although Mr Keers declines to provide an annual sum. He highlights the company's robust margins - pre-tax profit was 32 per cent of net revenue in the first half of 2014, which rose to 36 per cent in the first half of the current financial year. "Within that, we are continuing to invest in our business," Mr Keers says, adding that the investment should allow the manager to build a more scalable business.

SCHRODERS (SDR)
ORD PRICE:3,169pMARKET VALUE:£8.56bn*
TOUCH:3,167-3,169p12-MONTH HIGH:3,441pLOW: 2,086p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.9%PE RATIO:17
NET ASSET VALUE:924p*  

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20121.1136010143
20131.4150614458
20141.5356516278
2015†1.6362217686
2016†1.6965518691
% change+4+5+6+6

Normal market size: 750

Matched bargain trading

Beta: 1.1

*Includes non-voting shares †Numis Securities forecasts