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More West-End magic at Shaftesbury

RESULTS: Rental growth shows no sign of slowing for West-End retail landlord Shaftesbury.
November 30, 2011

Europe may be burning, but London’s West End remains fireproof. That was the year-end message from Shaftesbury, which owns shops and restaurants across Covent Garden, China Town and Soho. The company’s adjusted net asset value (NAV) grew 11.8 per cent to 463p over the year, driven by a 7.2 per cent mark-up in the value of its property estate. The valuation surplus was even greater in the second half than in the first, suggesting the West End’s escapist magic remains an effective bulwark against the economic storms that broke in August.

IC TIP: Hold at 490p

Shaftesbury’s rental income (stripping out the effect of rent-free periods) rose from £68.3m to £77.5m, driving a generous dividend increase. Yet rental income is still some £14.7m below the rental value of the estate, as estimated by the company’s surveyor, DTZ. Assuming market rents do not fall - and they grew 7.5 per cent over the year to September - so-called 'reversionary' income growth is therefore embedded in the ongoing routine of rent reviews and lease expiries.

The group bought £64.9m of properties over the year, adding to all its ‘villages’ except Carnaby Street. This was funded by a £100m share placing in March, so net debt fell.

Brokerage Espirito Santo expects adjusted NAV to rise 6.7 per cent to 494p by September 2012.

SHAFTESBURY (SHB)

ORD PRICE:490pMARKET VALUE:£1.23bn
TOUCH:489-490p12-MONTH HIGH:543pLOW: 424p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.3%TRADING PROP: nil
PREMIUM TO NAV:16%
INVEST PROPERTIES:£1.68bnNET DEBT:47%

Year to 30 SepNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2007*503124154.07.66
2008*370-221-97.411.00
2009*316-58-31.312.25
201038017273.610.25
201142111647.411.25
% change+11-33-36+10

Ex-div: 25 Jan

Payment: 17 Feb

*NAV and EPS figures adjusted for 2009 rights issue