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Tougher times ahead for Gooch & Housego

RESULTS: Gooch & Housego’s shares jumped on news of the latest results but demand in its largest division is softening
November 30, 2011

Gooch & Housego (G&H)’s shares jumped almost 7 per cent as the company reported a 78 per cent increase in full-year adjusted pre-tax profits and the board raised the dividend 150 per cent.

IC TIP: Hold at 392p

The company's industrial division has seen “unprecedented demand” for its Q-switches from laser customers who produce sophisticated consumer goods such as Far East-made smart phones, tablets and flat-screen televisions. Revenues from this segment soared 55 per cent to £38.6m which drove operating profits up from £5.3m to £9.6m. However, management does not have to be told about the risk to this business as a combination of customer destocking and delayed orders sent profits in 2008-09 spinning downwards. So, wisely, G&H is diversifying and paid £15.9m for two US fibre-optic businesses, largely financed by a placing in January. They contributed maiden sales of £10.35m and profits of £1.59m to the latest results.

But the future does not look so bright. The company admits that last quarter demand was softer in the main industrial division and, on a like-for-like basis, group order books at end-September were down 16 per cent. To ease alarms about another shopping spree to combat weaker demand, G&H says it’s unlikely to make “further major acquisitions in the short to medium term.”

Broker Investec Securities forecasts normalised profits a tad lower at £10.4m.

GOOCH & HOUSEGO (GHH)

ORD PRICE:392pMARKET VALUE:£85.7m
TOUCH:375-400p12-MONTH HIGH:610pLOW: 320p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.3%PE RATIO:11
NET ASSET VALUE:248p*NET DEBT:3%

Year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200730.76.6426.84.5
200833.45.1418.54.5
200936.41.425.0nil
201044.75.1024.42.0
201161.08.8135.55.0
% change+36+73+45+150

Ex-div: 25 Jan

Payment: 2 Mar

*Includes intangible assets of £22.1m, or 101p a share

Aim: electronic & electrical equipment