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Soggy half for Britvic

RESULTS: A double-dip recession and the wettest April on record have not made things easy for Britvic
May 24, 2012

Cost-conscious shoppers lost their taste for more expensive still drinks during the recent wet weather, switching instead to cheaper fizzy varieties such as Pepsi and Mountain Dew. The lag in passing on higher raw material costs didn't help Britvic, either, trimming underlying pre-tax profit by 10 per cent and operating margin by 60 basis points. However, there are grounds for optimism in the second half and it looks like the summer's now finally arrived, too.

IC TIP: Hold at 345p

Margins should improve over the next six months given the full benefit of price increases and potential cost-savings of £8m. And management remain happy with targets for the year, despite a difficult first half. Britvic's core UK carbonates division grew revenue by almost 7 per cent and won market share, while the popularity of Fruit Shoot helped boost international sales by over 10 per cent. But trading down by consumers and heavy promotional activity meant revenue from GB Stills was down 3.6 per cent and the Irish business had a terrible time, too. Sales there fell 11 per cent and, given there's no sign of recovery in the near term, another round of cost-cutting is under way.

Broker Nomura, which trimmed estimates in April, forecasts adjusted EPS of 35.3p compared with 33.7p in 2011.

BRITVIC (BVIC)

ORD PRICE:345pMARKET VALUE:£835m
TOUCH:344-345p12-MONTH HIGH:457pLow:   284p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.2%PE RATIO:14
NET ASSET VALUE:*negativeNET DEBT:£606m

Half-year to 15 AprTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201163320.16.605.10
201264124.17.705.30
% change+1+20+17+4

Ex-div: 30 May

Payment: 13 Jul

*Negative shareholders' funds includes intangible assets of £316m, or 131p a share