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Immunodiagnostics tests patience

RESULTS: Testing specialist Immunodiagnostics hopes that a change of chief executive can overcome a competitive squeeze
June 25, 2012

Investors in Immunodiagnostic Systems are living in hope that a change of management at the medical testing specialist will revitalise a firm where profits have been heavily squeezed by competition. After the resignation of Ian Cookson, the company will need a chief executive with substantial medical diagnostics experience who can drive the development of a broader range of tests. So, until there is more certainty, expect the shares to mark time.

IC TIP: Hold at 260p

Immudiagnostic is, in fact, caught in a structural squeeze. Sales of manual vitamin-D testing kits are falling faster than customers are adopting the new automated testing machines it sells. And rivals are undercutting prices on manual kits – two thirds of Immunodiagnostic's revenues still come from manual testings kits, and these fell 8 per cent as a result. The company aims to reverse this trend by targeting its IDS-iSYS machine at small- and medium-sized laboratories where the profit margins are better, in addition to developing new more complicated tests such as biomarkers. Meanwhile, placements of IDS-iSYS machines were broadly stable at 79, while sales generated by the instrument rose 57 per cent to £18.2m.

CanaccordGenuity's forecasts are under review but the broker currently expects pre-tax profits of £14.5m for 2013, giving EPS of 37.4p (from £14.9m and 34.6p last year).

IMMUNODIAGNOSTIC SYSTEMS HOLDINGS (IDH)

ORD PRICE:260pMARKET VALUE:£73.8m
TOUCH:256-260p12-MONTH HIGH:1,247pLOW: 239p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.1%PE RATIO:16
NET ASSET VALUE:255p*NET CASH:£6.9m

Year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200816.53.8014.21.50
200924.94.7816.91.65
201037.211.030.01.65
201150.216.546.12.50
201253.77.2516.72.75
% change+7-56-64+10

Ex-div: 5 Sep

Payment: 28 Sep

*Includes intangible assets of £53.6m, or 189p a share