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RBS recovery remains elusive

RESULTS: After revealing another painful headline loss, RBS is looking to bolster its capital by hacking back the investment bank and partially float its US bank
February 28, 2013

Despite the painful headline loss, Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) reckons that its underlying operating profit actually rose to £3.46bn from last year's £1.82bn. But a very long list of exceptionals have to be excluded to reach that rosier figure.

IC TIP: Hold at 341.1p

The biggest item is a £4.65bn accounting charge for the improved value of RBS's own credit - essentially, a measure of the cost of buying back its own liabilities. Then there's a £1.11bn hike in the provision for payment protection insurance (PPI) mis-selling redress - bringing the total set aside to £2.2bn. There's also a further £650m provision to cover redress for mis-selling interest rate hedging products and RBS's Libor-rigging fine wiped another £381m off profits. A £1.04bn operating loss at Ulster Bank hurt, too. Ireland's property market collapse has hit Ulster hard and the £1.36bn impairment charge the unit incurred represents a hefty 26 per cent of the group's £5.28bn impairment charge.

With that backdrop, and given government impatience to recoup at least some of the £45.5bn used to bailout RBS, chief executive Stephen Hester announced two initiatives. First, the investment bank will have its risk-weighted asset base hacked back to £80bn to release capital. Ironically, improved financial market conditions helped operating profit there to grow 68 per cent to £1.5bn. Second, US lender Citizens will be partially floated - its bad debt charge fell from £326m last year to just £91m, with the operating profit up 40 per cent to £754m.

UK performance, meanwhile, remains lacklustre. The retail unit reduced its impairment charge by 33 per cent to £529m, but operating profit still fell 6 per cent to £1.89bn amidst weak customer demand. The poor economic backdrop hit the corporate arm, too, and operating profit there fell 7 per cent to £1.8bn.

Prior to these figures, broker Investec Securities was expecting EPS of 13.7p for 2013 (from a loss of 53.7p in 2012), and tangible net assets (NTA) of 474p.

ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND (RBS)

ORD PRICE:340.2pMARKET VALUE:£37.5bn
TOUCH:339.9-340.2p12-MONTH HIGH:369.6pLOW: 193.3p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:619p* 

Year to 31 DecPre-tax profit (bn)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2008-40.84-1462.0193
2009-2.65-63.0nil
2010-0.40-5.00nil
2011-1.19-21.3nil
2012-5.17-53.7nil
% change---

*Includes intangible assets of £13.5bn, or 123p a share