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Solid progress at St James's Place

RESULTS: St James's Place has reported yet more progress - but the shares are up 54 per cent since late July, leaving catalysts for significant further upside looking hard to spot
February 28, 2013

St James's Place (STJ) pushed European embedded value (EEV) new business profits ahead 13 per cent in 2012 to £276.8m, while funds under management rose 22 per cent to £34.8bn. Moreover, and even though first-half new business growth was weak, a pick up in the second half meant that new business growth (on an annual premium equivalent basis) reached 16 per cent overall.

IC TIP: Hold at 490p

Managed funds were boosted by a positive investment return of £3.41bn, but there were also net inflows of new funds worth £3.35bn. The group has its own dedicated adviser team, too - St James's Place Partnership - and this has been helpful given new regulatory rules that have banned commission payments and forced many independent financial advisers out of the market. Indeed, partnership numbers grew 8 per cent to 1,788, with a further 54 apprentices currently in the programme.

Admittedly, operating profit on an EEV basis was 1.5 per cent lower at £365.9m - but this was before the inclusion of investment income, which turned the previous year's £180.4m loss into a gain of £190.4m. Accordingly, JPMorgan Cazenove has upgraded its 2013 EPS forecast by 3 per cent to 27.96p (21.52p in 2012) and expects embedded value per share of 507p.

ST JAMES'S PLACE (STJ)
ORD PRICE:490pMARKET VALUE:£2.49bn
TOUCH:487-490p12-MONTH HIGH:496pLOW: 301p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.2%PE RATIO:23
NET ASSET VALUE:150p*EMBEDDED VALUE:461p

Year to 31 DecNet premiums (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200859.9-31.014.24.39
200955.029.08.304.50
201050.016211.46.00
201143.711021.98.00
201239.213521.510.6
% change-10+23-2+33

Ex-div: 10 Apr

Payment: 24 May

*Includes intangible assets of £1bn, or 203p a share