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Double-digit growth at Great Portland

RESULTS: Developments should continue to generate super profits for shareholders in the West End developer
May 22, 2013

Great Portland Estates (GPOR) is on a roll, delivering high-spec West End offices into a solid market with little rival supply. The two development schemes completed over the year to 31 March - one let to property broker Savills, the other to visual effects company Double Negative - are now worth £79.1m, or 51 per cent, more than they cost. The company's portfolio as a whole was marked up 8 per cent last year, boosting adjusted net asset value (NAV) by 11 per cent to 446 per share.

IC TIP: Hold at 592p

The unusual market conditions that are making West End developments so profitable for well-funded companies like Great Portland - no lending for speculative development, very strong interest in long-let assets from overseas investors, the natural churn of office tenants - show every sign of continuing. Office take-up in the West End remains slightly below its long-term average, but has ticked up recently. Having delayed relocating in a circumspect business environment, many tenants with expiring commercial leases "are rapidly reaching the conclusion they need to make a decision", says chief executive Toby Courtauld.

That underpins confidence in the five development schemes to which Great Portland is currently committed. One of these is a 12-storey office on New Fetter Lane, the whole of which the company this month pre-let to law firm Bird & Bird on a 20-year lease.

Brokerage Oriel Securities expects adjusted NAV to rise to 477p next March.

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES (GPOR)

ORD PRICE:592pMARKET VALUE:£2.04bn
TOUCH:591-593p12-MONTHHIGH:600pLOW: 364p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.5%TRADING PROP:nil
PREMIUM TO NAV:31%
INVESTMENT PROP:£2.25bn*NET DEBT:43%

Year to 31 MarNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2009234-436-180.09.0
201028015755.58.0
201135926183.88.2
201240215550.28.4
201345118156.38.6
% change+12+16+12+2

Ex-div: 29 May

Payment: 9 Jul

*Includes £348m within joint ventures