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Saga cruises on

Last year's much hyped flotation has recouped its early losses to deliver an annualised return of about 8 per cent
May 5, 2015

If greater pensions freedom will prompt over-55s to splurge their savings on the trip of a lifetime, Saga (SAGA) is waiting with open arms. Chief executive Lance Batchelor says the company has not yet seen the floodgates open, but he is "watching with interest to see what happens".

IC TIP: Hold at 190.7p

To stake a claim on some of the money no longer ear-marked for an annuity, the company will also launch a wealth management service later this year in partnership with Tilney Bestinvest. Saga has already built up more than £5bn of retail deposits.

The travel business is much better established. "Our ships are almost full at the moment," says chief financial officer Stuart Howard. Revenues from the cruise business rose 15 per cent to £381m for the year to the end of January, with about half of the increase coming from the acquisition of luxury tour operator Destinology.

Meanwhile, motor insurance revenues were down 12 per cent at £312m as premium rates continued to fall in a saturated market. But Saga managed to improve its profitability: the combined operating ratio (of claims to premia) for its core motor underwriting business improved from 88.4 per cent to 77.9 per cent. This division will be enlarged by the acquisition of motorbike insurer Bennetts, which has more than 200,000 "highly complementary" customers. The group is also creating a panel of underwriters for its motor customers to boost the competitiveness of its pricing.

Statutory figures were suppressed by a £178m goodwill writedown relating to the public sector business of Allied Healthcare, which Saga put up for sale in January, as well as the cost of the flotation. But cash profits were up 6 per cent at £227m, a narrow beat versus consensus. For the 160,000 or so customers that became retail shareholders at the time of the flotation, Saga will issue one free share for every 20 held to those on the share register on 26 May.

Broker Numis Securities expects pre-tax profit of £195.8m this year, which gives EPS of 13.8p.

SAGA (SAGA)
ORD PRICE:191pMARKET VALUE:£2.1bn
TOUCH:190.7-191.9p12-MONTH HIGH:192pLOW: 145p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.1%PE RATIO:22
NET ASSET VALUE:88.6p*NET DEBT:71%

Year to 31 JanTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20121,175148nana
20131,310150nana
2014**94417116.0na
20159011148.64.1
% change-5-34-46-

Ex-div: 4 Jun

Payment: 30 Jun

*Includes intangible assets of £1.5bn, or 136p a share **Company floated in May 2014