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Opinion

Bonds' real trouble

Bonds' real trouble
July 7, 2015
Bonds' real trouble

So, why have they done so?

In truth, there's nothing unusual about real and nominal yields moving in the same direction. If we look at three-month changes in 10-year yields since May 1997 (when the Bank of England was made operationally independent) the correlation between conventional and index-linked gilts has been a hefty 0.5. And it has been even larger when yields move a lot. Since May 1997 there have been 16 three-month periods in which nominal yields rose by 0.5 percentage points or more; real yields rose on 15 of these occasions.

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