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Slow growth at Intu Properties

But UK valuations remain under pressure
February 22, 2018

If the proposed marriage between Intu (Intu) and Hammerson (HMSO) ever makes it up the aisle, this may be the last set of annual accounts from Intu, and will come as a merciful release for long-suffering shareholders who have watched the share price all but halve in the past three years.

IC TIP: Accept at 211.2p

Intu owns 10 of the top 25 shopping centres in the UK, but the sector as a whole faces significant headwinds, not least the change in consumer spending habits. This gave rise to some uninspiring performance metrics for 2017. Like-for-like rental income grew by just 0.5 per cent, while footfall was up 0.1 per cent, albeit beating the national retail average which fell 2.8 per cent. Both underlying earnings and the dividend were flat on the previous year. 

The bright spot was Spain, where Intu owns three of the top 10 centres, and is on track to build a fourth. A total of 38 long-term leases were signed at an average 25 per cent above previous passing rent, while footfall rose by 1 per cent and occupancy was stable at 97 per cent.

Analysts at Peel Hunt are forecasting adjusted net asset value of 389.6p at the December 2018 year-end, compared with 411p in 2017.

INTU PROPERTIES (INTU)  
ORD PRICE:211.2pMARKET VALUE:£2.86bn
TOUCH:211.2-211.4p12-MONTH HIGH:298pLOW: 189p
DIVIDEND YIELD:7%DEVELOPMENT PROPERTIES:£432m
DISCOUNT TO NAV:44%  
INVESTMENT PROP:£9.5bn*NET DEBT:86% 
Year to 31 DecNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201333336334.513.7
201434759448.013.7
201537451339.313.7
201637118813.714
201737822716.114
% change+2+21+18-
Ex-div:19 Apr   
Payment:17 May   
*Includes joint ventures and investment in associates