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IPF counters regulatory pressures

Taking advantage of credit demand in Mexico offset continued regulatory and competitive pressures in Europe
February 28, 2019

International Personal Finance (IPF) continued to battle a regulatory crackdown on sub-prime lending in Europe last year, but investment in Mexico and digital operations began to pay off. Mexican customer numbers were 11 per cent higher at 917,000, with branch-based lending offsetting the cost of expanding its micro-business operations and boosting pre-tax profits by more than a fifth. Meanwhile, IPF Digital – which posted a 41 per cent rise in outstanding loans – is set to turn a maiden pre-tax profit in 2019.       

IC TIP: Hold at 202p

At a group level, credit issuance rose 6 per cent, while impairments were lower at 26.2 per cent of revenue, from 27.9 per cent the prior year. As expected, credit issued in European markets contracted 5 per cent, with competition from payday lenders, digital and home credit collectors remaining intense. Romania also introduced new debt-to-income regulations, while the Polish government has also published a draft bill proposing a reduction in the cap on non-interest costs to 75 per cent of the consumer loan value from 100 per cent.

Analysts at Numis expect adjusted pre-tax profits of £112m and EPS of 29.6p this year, from £109m and 33.8p in 2018.

INTERNATIONAL PERSONAL FINANCE (IPF)  
ORD PRICE:202pMARKET VALUE:£450m
TOUCH:202-202.8p12-MONTH HIGH:259pLOW: 166p
DIVIDEND YIELD:6.1%PE RATIO:6
NET ASSET VALUE:194pNET DEBT:151%
Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201478310030.212.0
201573510027.312.4
20167579632.212.4
201782610620.212.4
201886610933.812.4
% change+5+3+67-
Ex-div:11 Apr   
Payment:10 May