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The state of Origin

Strong growing conditions bolstered full-year profits and cash flows at Origin Enterprises.
September 24, 2014

Excellent growing conditions in its core UK and Irish farming markets helped Origin Enterprises (OGN) bump up full-year adjusted operating profit by 15 per cent to €79.5m (£62.1m) in its core agri-services division. Admittedly, year-on-year comparisons for all agri-businesses often reflect the vagaries of weather rather than operational performance. But Origin's profit surge has also been driven by a demand swing towards its higher-margin agronomy services segment, which resulted in a 70 basis point increase in the operating margin to 5.6 per cent. This is a sure indicator that management's focus on 'value added' business is starting to reap rewards.

IC TIP: Buy at 790€

As ever, Origin had to contend with regional variations, including a faltering environment in Poland's agricultural export markets. Overall, however, demand for farm inputs recovered strongly through the year. Even Agroscope, Origin's new Ukrainian subsidiary acquired in January, delivered a "robust performance", despite the country's ongoing security problems. And a step-up in operating cash flows - up 52 per cent to €75.3m - enabled Origin to reduce net debt by €17.6m to €11.9m, while funding a significant hike in the full-year payout.

Broker Investec Securities envisages EPS of 59.2¢ for 2015, thanks to adjusted pre-tax profits of €85m.

ORIGIN ENTERPRISES (OGN)
ORD PRICE:790¢MARKET VALUE:€989m
TOUCH:770-810¢12-MONTH HIGH:883¢LOW: 645¢
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.5%PE RATIO:16
NET ASSET VALUE:179¢*NET DEBT:5%

Year to 31 JulTurnover (€bn)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20101.0844.527.19
20111.2662.536.811
20121.3453.231.915
20131.4281.452.817.25
20141.4273.948.920
% change--9-7+16

Ex-div: 27 Nov

Payment: 12 Dec

*Includes intangible assets of €151m, or 121¢ a share £1=€1.28