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Origin of an Ukrainian crisis

Agri-services provider Origin Enterprises has reported a steady first half.
March 13, 2015

The seasonally quiet first half was broadly solid for agri-business Origin Enterprises (OGN). At 5.8¢ - down 2 per cent on last year - adjusted EPS came in slightly ahead of broker Goodbody's forecasts. That followed a favourable 2014 harvest and another strong year of winter wheat plantings in the UK and Poland, supporting demand for Origin's agronomy services.

IC TIP: Sell at 8.53€

However, trading conditions in Ukraine were "challenging", and management suggested this would continue into 2015. Farming sentiment in general is deteriorating as producers - dairy farmers in particular - are feeling the pinch of falling prices. That said, deflation only highlights the importance of efficient farming, based on the kind of sophisticated agri-services Origin offers. These include soil scanning, field sampling and special nutrient blends.

The sharp decline in reported pre-tax profit was due to lower earnings from Origin's stake in foods business Valeo. In the core agri-services division, like-for-like sales fell 5 per cent, reflecting lower feed and fertiliser prices and reduced crop marketing volumes and prices. However, operating profit grew by €1.1m (£0.78m) to €4.1m, helped by higher volumes of crop protection and fertiliser. The cropping profile to date is robust, so the outlook for the second half - which accounts for 90 per cent of full-year earnings - is decent. Management has retained its full-year EPS guidance of 60¢.

ORIGIN ENTERPRISES (OGN)
ORD PRICE:853¢MARKET VALUE:€1.1bn
TOUCH:840-865¢12-MONTH HIGH:883¢LOW: 736¢
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.3%PE RATIO:18
NET ASSET VALUE:158¢*NET DEBT:81%

Half-year to 31 JanTurnover (€m)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20145183.12.50
20155321.71.60
% change+3-44-34-

Ex-div: na

Payment: na

*Includes intangible assets of €156m, or 125¢ a share

£1=€1.40