Last year's headline figures mask the underlying picture for closed life book specialist Chesnara (CSN). As chief executive John Dean points out, the key metrics for the business are cash generation to support a progressive dividend policy, and growth in embedded value. On these two points Chesnara scored well. Net cash generation rose from £36.7m to £71.1m, easily covering dividend payments of £20.7m, while embedded value - which contains an element of expected returns from existing business - rose 11 per cent to £417m.
The headline numbers were affected by the steady decline in bond yields, which had an adverse impact on the group's S&P business, acquired in 2010. The products sold by S&P provide guaranteed returns, so with lower investment income it was necessary to increase reserves by £17.8m to cover the cost of guarantees - a sharp reverse from the £24.4m surplus generated the previous year.
Meanwhile, profits from the Swedish Movestic operation were suppressed by currency moves. Yet the division still performed well, increasing new business by nearly a quarter to £8.9m thanks to higher volumes of new policies and better margins. Chesnara also raised £34.5m through an equity placing to help pay for the acquisition of Dutch closed life business Waard.
Analysts at Canaccord Genuity are forecasting net income of £29.8m for the current year, and embedded value of 349p at year end (from £25.6m and 330p in 2014).
CHESNARA (CNS) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
ORD PRICE: | 349.75p | MARKET VALUE: | £442m | |
TOUCH: | 347.5-350p | 12-MONTH HIGH: | 365p | LOW: 287p |
DIVIDEND YIELD: | 5.3% | PE RATIO: | 16 | |
NET ASSET VALUE: | 221p | EMBEDDED VALUE: | 330p |
Year to 31 Dec | Net premiums (£m) | Pre-tax profit (£m) | Earnings per share (p) | Dividend per share (p) |
---|---|---|---|---|
2010 | 79.3 | 34.2 | 29.1 | 16.4 |
2011 | 87.0 | 22.4 | 22.4 | 16.85 |
2012 | 80.2 | 19.7 | 24.3 | 17.35 |
2013 | 74.5 | 60.6 | 43.0 | 17.88 |
2014 | 76.7 | 28.8 | 22.1 | 18.4 |
% change | +3 | -52 | -49 | +3 |
Ex-div: 09 Apr Payment: 22 May |