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London & Stamford go large

TIP UPDATE: Overheated market means the recovery fund is now targeting deals over £200m
November 23, 2009

Aim-traded property recovery play London & Stamford says it plans to target deals worth over £200m going forward in an attempt to avoid overpaying in the clamour for property assets.

IC TIP: Buy at 126p

Since the group made its maiden purchase nearly a year ago, the commercial property investment market has undergone a radical reversal of fortunes, with cash-rich investors and foreign buyers competing for limited assets and pushing up prices. So how large is the company prepared to go? "The answer, I suppose, is however large the deal needs to be to get us out of the current feeding frenzy," says director Martin McGann, adding that "north of £200m" was the starting point.

At its half-year results, the company was sitting on £291m of cash deposits (held in 15 separate banks to mitigate risks), plus up to £90m available from Cavendish, its joint venture with Middle Eastern investors. "Gear that up and you start to get near £1bn," adds Mr McGann. "Is more available? Well, we haven't asked yet."

LONDON & STAMFORD (LSP)
ORD PRICE:125pMARKET VALUE:£625m
TOUCH:124-126p12M HIGH:137pLOW: 81p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.4%TRADING STOCK:nil
PREMIUM TO NAV:20%
INVEST PROPERTIES:£304mNET CASH:£150m

Half-year to 30 SepNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200895.2-3.6-0.72.0
2009104.315.44.52.2
% change+9 - -+10

Ex-div: 25 Nov

Payment: 21 Dec

In the latest six-month trading period, L&S raised £220m net of expenses in July's placing and completed property acquisitions, including a retail park in Aintree and a distribution unit let to supermarket Somerfield. Two days before the period-end, it paid £41.4m for a block of 146 apartments in the north stand of the redeveloped Arsenal stadium. Since the end of September, it has leased 59 of these. "We intended to let five a week, but it has been more like nine or 10 a week," said Mr McGann. A rental yield of 7 per cent is being targeted on the flats.

The net asset value (NAV) nudged up to 104p, the result of an £11.6m valuation uplift, but management notes that "the greatest part of recent improvement in yields has occurred post 30 September". L&S's share of the valuation of the Meadowhall Shopping Centre, owned in a joint venture with Cavendish and British Land, increased by £2.4m.

Income from these purchases, plus earlier deals buying office buildings in Leeds and the City of London, has boosted net rental income to £6.7m, more than double March's year-end figure of £3.1m.

Broker KBC Peel Hunt forecasts that allowing for the recent yield shift, year-end NAV will hit 121p.

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