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Rising from the Ashtead

TIP UPDATE: Equipment rental group Ashtead witnesses a sharp drop in revenues, but expects a recovery in US construction markets before 2011
June 17, 2010

Ashtead's management believes the equipment rental group has now turned a corner and is laying the foundations for an upturn in construction markets. The last 12 months certainly weren't pretty - underlying group revenues plunged 25 per cent on a constant currency basis, while operating profit fell 58 per cent to £69m, despite a 19 reduction in operating costs.

IC TIP: Sell at 115p

But fourth-quarter trends "were encouraging", according to chief executive Geoff Drabble, with US-based Sunbelt, the group's largest business, returning to profit growth. What's more, headroom on debt facilities and strong cash flow have given the group confidence to invest £175m this year to replace the rental fleet. This is an increase from a meagre £63m capital spend last year.

The group's smaller UK business, A-Plant, is likely to see little of the investment, though. Uncertainties around government spending will be slightly offset by infrastructure spend, Mr Drabble said, but as a recovery in US construction markets is expected before the year is out this will be the group's focus.

UBS forecasts adjusted pre-tax profits of £8.2m and EPS of 1.05p (£5m and 0.22p in 2010).

Ashtead (AHT)

ORD PRICE:115pMARKET VALUE:£579m
TOUCH:114-115p12-MONTH HIGH:129pLOW: 52p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.5%PE RATIO:575
NET ASSET VALUE*:99pNET DEBT:166%

Year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20060.6481.713.51.50
20070.88-42.71.51.65
20081.05110.012.82.50
20091.120.80.42.58
20100.844.80.22.90
% change-25+500-50+13

Ex-div:18 Aug

Payment:10 Sep

*Includes intangible assets of £374m, or 74p a share

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