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Lonmin hit by labour unrest

Industrial unrest and rising costs in South Africa provided a challenging backdrop for Lonmin over the past year, but the company did meet revised full-year sales targets.
November 15, 2011

In a year in which its South African operations were blighted by industrial action and mine fatalities, Lonmin managed to deliver on its revised full-year sales target, while pushing up underlying operating profits by around a third to $311m (£196m). A steep rise in comparable full-year earnings was largely attributable to one-off tax treatments.

IC TIP: Hold at 1077p

Lonmin had expected to cash in on rising platinum prices by ramping up production through this year, but its plans were compromised by an illegal industrial stoppage in May, together with production outages following the deaths of six employees. Year-on-year production of platinum group metals (PGMs) increased by 8 per cent to 1.3 million ounces.

Platinum sales rose by 6 per cent to 720,783 ounces and palladium, which is used in catalytic converters, saw sales rise 18 per cent. This was notable given the fall away in demand from Japanese automotive manufacturers in the aftermath of the March earthquake.

Escalating power costs and wage settlements continued to place pressure on operating margins throughout the year, while Lonmin's management identified the rising tide of "resource nationalism" in South Africa as another potential risk factor.

Prior to these results, Evolution had forecast EPS of 74.4p for 2012 (92.5p in 2011).

LONMIN (LMI)
ORD PRICE:1,077pMARKET VALUE:£2.2bn
TOUCH:1,076-1,078p12-MONTH HIGH:2,009pLOW: 948p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:1,445¢*NET DEBT:7%

Year to 30 SepTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20071.94705189106
20082.2377927856.0
20091.06-272-164nil
20101.5924056.915
20111.9929313515
% change+26+22+137-

Ex-div:11 Jan

Payment: 3 Feb

*Includes intangible assets of $1.1bn, or 546¢ a share £1 = $1.59