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Fiesta time for SABMiller

Strong sales in Latin America lifted profits at SABMiller, but investors are being asked to pay a high price for its defensive strength
November 21, 2011

SABMiller's half-year figures were somewhat mixed, with emerging markets in a party mood but western markets losing their fizz.

IC TIP: Hold at 2192p

Lager volumes in Europe were flat year on year – and down in many key markets – which SAB blamed on competitors' price promotions and faltering consumer confidence. The performance in North America was even worse, with a 4 per cent fall in volumes combining with rising commodity costs to put a 6 per cent dent in cash profits, despite the fact that the group has achieved annualised cost savings of $738m (£476m) on its MillerCoors joint venture.

However, the strength of emerging markets more than compensated, resulting in overall underlying pre-tax profit climbing 13 per cent. Latin America, Asia, and Africa all delivered strong volume growth and meant that, even though SAB held back on increasing prices, overall sales climbed 6 per cent on an organic basis. Latin America was the star performer, with benign economic conditions in the region translating into underlying volume growth of 8 per cent and a 16 per cent rise in cash profit, making it by far and away the biggest component of group profitability.

Broker Shore Capital expects full-year pre-tax profits of $4.7bn, giving EPS of 215¢ (from $4.1bn and 187¢ in 2011).

SABMILLER (SAB)

ORD PRICE:2,192pMARKET VALUE:£34.8bn
TOUCH:2,192-2,193p12-MONTH HIGH:2,372pLOW: 1,858p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.4%PE RATIO:20
NET ASSET VALUE:1,359¢*NET DEBT:29%

Half-year to 30 SepTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20109.451.6971.219.5
201110.52.0487.421.5
% change+11+21+23+10

Ex-div: 30 Nov

Payment: 9 Dec

*Includes intangible assets of $15.7bn, or 988¢ a share

£1=$1.58