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TIP UPDATE: Guidance held despite booming markets - vindicating our view that the shares are too pricey
March 10, 2008

Telecity's shares trade at a premium to other data centre services providers. So when chief executive Michael Tobin declined to raise 2008 guidance after a strong start to the year, investors took fright, sending Telecity's shares down over 10 per cent. Mr Tobin says it's early in Telecity's public life for upgrades, while lack of liquidity makes the shares a "magnifying glass to whatever happens on the market". An imbalance of supply and demand in data centre owners' favour means Telecity is "bullet-proofed to deliver the numbers", says Mr Tobin.

IC TIP: Sell at 208p

Constrained supply means Telecity can hike its charges towards the latest market price, even for existing customers. Mr Tobin says these clients understand that "responsible pricing" is required for Telecity to invest in new capacity for "both our futures". New Telecity sites in London and Amsterdam will open in coming weeks, while is acquiring at steep prices in Europe, suggesting it sees good growth prospects too. Much of Telecity's growth is coming from media companies, such as the BBC and ITV, as they take early steps towards using the internet to deliver more programming.

Citi expects EPS of 5p in 2008, rising to 9.3p in 2009 (loss of 0.6p in 2007).

Telecity Group (TCY)

ORD PRICE:208pMARKET VALUE:£412m
TOUCH:208-209p12-MONTH HIGH:338pLOW: 193p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:NA
NET ASSET VALUE:76p*NET CASH:£3.7m

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200425.8-7.0-2.8nil
200529.6-9.7-3.5nil
200668.9-15.8-10.2nil
200797.9-7.8-4.7nil
% change+42---

*Includes intangible assets of £46.9m, or 24p per share

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