Shares in NWF slumped 10 per cent close to a 12-month low after the company warned that it would miss full-year earnings estimates.
The profit shortfall is a direct result of the prolonged period of mild weather that led to a long grazing period up until the end of November and reduced demand for feedstuffs to such an extent that profits dropped a hefty 60 per cent to £600,000. It also cut demand for fuel oil – particularly heating oil – which accounts for a quarter of NWF's fuel sales. That said, fuel sales were up thanks to higher crude oil prices and acquisitions, but margins of only 1p a litre meant the business only managed to breakeven on sales of £181m, up from £133m at this stage last year. Even if you strip out £0.3m of acquisition and integration costs, profitability at the unit was still way short of the £0.7m operating profit reported in the prior half year.
To make matters worse, the warm weather has continued over Christmas and into January, so profits – which are heavily biased to the second half – will be "significantly below the board's expectations". This prompted broker Peel Hunt to slash its full-year adjusted pre-tax profit estimate from £6.9m to only £5m and cut EPS forecasts from 10.5p to 7.6p.
NWF (NWF) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
ORD PRICE: | 115.5p | MARKET VALUE: | £54.5m | |
TOUCH: | 112-119p | 12-MONTH HIGH: | 149.5p | LOW: 108p |
DIVIDEND YIELD: | 3.9% | PE RATIO: | 10 | |
NET ASSET VALUE: | 54p* | NET DEBT: | 114% |
Half-year to 30 Nov | Turnover (£m) | Pre-tax profit (£m) | Earnings per share (p) | Dividend per share (p) |
---|---|---|---|---|
2010 | 203 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1 |
2011 | 264 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1 |
% change | +30 | -18 | -13 | - |
Ex-div: 21 March Payment: 1 May *Includes intangible assets of £11.7m, or 25p a share |