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Ashmore treading water

RESULT: Ashmore's emphasis on emerging markets debt protects the asset management group from the worst of market ravages
February 23, 2012

Investment manager Ashmore delivered a creditable half-year performance in the face of volatile financial markets, helped in part by its significant exposure to investments in emerging markets debt, where returns have been less badly affected.

IC TIP: Hold at 394p

Even so, assets under management (AUM) fell from $65.8bn in June to $60.4bn (£38.5bn) at the end of 2011 entirely as a result of market weakness, although there was still a net $0.7bn net inflow of funds in the period. Inevitably, this led to a sharp fall in performance fees, which declined from £60.1m to £23m, although some of this reflected a change in product mix that reduced the number of AUM eligible to earn performance fees from 38 per cent to 32 per cent of the total. Crucially, the all-important management fee income rose 30 per cent to £151m due to the higher levels of average AUM compared with 12 months earlier and a stronger US dollar. Average management fee revenue margins did decline from 86 to 76 basis points, but this was down to a change in theme and client mix.

The profit performance was 15 per cent better than Numis Securities had expected and 8 per cent better than consensus, so the broker plans to upgrade full-year EPS estimates of 22.3p by around 5 to 10 per cent (26.6p in 2011).

ASHMORE (ASHM)
ORD PRICE:394pMARKET VALUE:£2.8bn
TOUCH:393-394p12-MONTH HIGH:430pLOW: 299p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.7%PE RATIO:14
NET ASSET VALUE:67p*NET CASH:£324m

Half-year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201017912814.34.16
201117913013.84.25
% change-+2-3+2

Ex-div: 7 Mar

Payment: 4 Apr

*Includes intangible assets of £103m, or 15p a share