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Savills' text-book diversification

Profit growth in unglamorous property management has made up for weak broking profits at Savills.
March 16, 2012

After racing up 45 per cent since the end of November, Savills' shares fell 3 per cent on these full-year results, which were slightly underwhelming compared with last August's interims. The second half was tougher, and the property group has also been exploiting the weakness of rival brokers to poach big-hitters, sapping short-term profits.

IC TIP: Hold at 380p

Underlying pre-tax profits were still up 7 per cent at £50.4m, reflecting a sharp fall in profits in Savills' once core transactional businesses that was more than offset by growth in its newer consultancy, property management and fund management divisions. The strategy of investing in recurring (as opposed to deal-dependent) revenue streams, which management has repeatedly stressed since the property boom collapsed, seems to be working precisely as planned.

That said, the broking businesses received the bulk of investment last year – transactional profits fell 21 per cent to £24.2m even as revenues grew by 2 per cent. Finance director Simon Shaw says that market share gains will soon make up for the lost profits. "We've always made our most successful moves in difficult markets – you can't get people to move in good markets except by overpaying them," he explains.

Savills is best known in the UK for its upmarket estate agency, which grew revenue 9 per cent, thanks to the cosmopolitan buoyancy of the central London housing market. The company's 73 regional branches have been much quieter, but Mr Shaw says the market for prime country homes has started to pick up as domestic buyers slowly regain confidence.

Unsurprisingly, the weakest division was the European commercial brokerage, where revenues fell 14 per cent to £26m and losses doubled to £8.8m. Management made further cuts to its Spanish, Italian and Dutch operations in the second half, incurring £1.9m of restructuring costs, while bolstering its offices in Paris and major German cities in anticipation of a rebound. Meanwhile, Savills' large Far East arm – the main growth engine of recent years – took a back seat as the Hong Kong property market cooled.

Broker Numis Securities expects underlying pre-tax profits of £54.5m and EPS of 31p this year (£50.4m and 28.2p in 2011).

SAVILLS (SVS)

ORD PRICE:380pMARKET VALUE:£504m
TOUCH:380-381p12-MONTH HIGH:432p255p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.6%PE RATIO:18
NET ASSET VALUE:155p*NET CASH:£73.6m

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200765185.945.518.0
2008569-7.7-9.39.0
200956113.57.39.0
201067736.820.513.0
201172240.021.513.5
% change+7+9+5+4

Ex-div: 4 Apr

Payment: 14 May

*Includes intangible assets of £136m, or 102p a share