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Telford remains a buy

RESULTS: Demand for apartments close to London remains strong - underpinned by ongoing demand from overseas buyers
May 30, 2012

Telford Homes is operating in a sweet spot - the London housing market - where demand for apartments has been swelled further by strong overseas demand. In fact, the housebuilder says that the strong level of pre-sales already secured will lead to a substantial increase in profits this year - so the shares remain attractive.

IC TIP: Buy at 109p

Telford ticked all the right boxes in the year, with contracts exchanged on open-market properties up 25 per cent at 460, and a further 542 affordable homes sold. Operating margins rose from 5.2 per cent to 6.2 per cent, too, and Telford has now completed its lower-margin developments - those with a greater than usual proportion of affordable housing and those open-market homes that had been achieving lower-than-expected sale prices.

That leaves the group in a position to rebuild margins back to a more typical 10 per cent level. Indeed, forward sales already include more than 65 per cent of the open-market sales targeted for the whole of this year. Around £50m was spent on acquiring new land as well and the number of properties in the development pipeline rose from 1,904 to 1,969 - all but 20 of which have detailed planning consent.

Broker Shore Capital expects pre-tax profit of £8m for 2013, giving adjusted EPS of 11.8p (£3m and 4.4p for 2012).

TELFORD HOMES (TEF)
ORD PRICE:109pMARKET VALUE:£54.3m
TOUCH:107-110p12-MONTH HIGH:114pLOW: 61p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.8%PE RATIO:23
NET ASSET VALUE:133pNET DEBT:82%

Year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200897.06.5012.210.0
20091074.308.10nil
20101597.3413.72.00
20111213.034.802.50
20121243.054.703.00
% change+2+1-2+20

Ex-div: 20 Jun

Payment: 20 Jul