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Northern Petroleum cuts reserve estimates - again

RESULTS: Northern Petroleum turned in a creditable enough operating performance during 2011 - but it has again lowered its reserve estimates
June 8, 2012

Dutch-focused Northern Petroleum reduced its proven and probable (2P) reserves estimate by 15 per cent to 76.5m barrels of oil equivalent (boe) with these belated full-year figures - management did something similar last June, too. That won't help sentiment towards the shares, even though production rose by a decent 31 per cent in the year.

IC TIP: Hold at 64p

But higher realised gas prices, and that hefty production hike, did boost operating profits to €10.96m (£8.8m) from last year's €1.5m. The improvement would have been even more pronounced were it not for a €3.73m rise in depletion and amortisation charges. Meanwhile, strong cash flow has enabled the group to grow its cash pile by €8.4m in the year.

Northern remains on target to meet its first-half daily production target of 1,040 boe, too - although 2012 full-year guidance at 1,000 boe falls short of analysts' estimates. Much attention will now focus on the the group's Zaedyus oil discovery in Guyane - now operated by Shell - where a three or four well programme will commence in the next few months.

NORTHERN PETROLEUM (NOP)
ORD PRICE:64pMARKET VALUE:£61m
TOUCH:64-65p12-MONTH HIGH:98pLOW: 59p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:12
NET ASSET VALUE:98¢*NET CASH:€29.8m

Year to 31 DecTurnover (€m)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
20075.9330.029.7nil
20086.9511.614.1nil
20095.08-3.12-2.90nil
201015.0-0.02-1.30nil
201124.510.56.70nil
% change+63---

*Includes intangible assets of €34.7m, or 36¢ a share

£1=€1.24