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Patience needed at Intercede

RESULTS: Intercede continues to spend heavily on research and marketing and it could be quite a while before the digital identity specialist begins delivering on its potential
June 13, 2012

Patience certainly appears needed when investing in digital identity software group Intercede. After all, hopes that profits would recover appear to have been dashed now that management is boosting spending on research and development (R&D), sales and marketing - R&D spending rose 29 per cent to £2.1m. That leaves broker finCapp forecasting no more break-even for 2013 - leaving few near-term share price catalysts.

IC TIP: Hold at 60p

Admittedly, that's not dreadful news and it is worth taking note of a company that writes off, rather than capitalises, its R&D. Indeed, the balance sheet is devoid of goodwill - even though the company reckons it has invested 300-plus man years on software development. Moreover, the cash pile benefited from a £0.9m inflow from operating activities.

Intercede is also the only significant independent supplier of secure identity software, covering smartcards, smartphones and tablets. At the moment, it manages 5m digital identities but, as it comes out of its closet, its stated target is more than 100m by 2020. To achieve that means concentrating increasingly on the growing US market, rather than the battered eurozone and UK economies. In fact, last year America accounted for nearly two-thirds of sales.

INTERCEDE (IGP)

ORD PRICE:60pMARKET VALUE:£29m
TOUCH:58-62p12-MONTH HIGH: 85pLOW: 23p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:43
NET ASSET VALUE:12pNET CASH:£6.97m

Year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20082.81-0.18-0.20nil
20095.701.414.70nil
20106.190.511.10nil
20116.872.014.10nil
20126.960.911.40nil
% change+1-55-66-

Aim: Software & computer services