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Hiscox bounces back

RESULTS: Hiscox is again making impressive underwriting profits in today's relatively benign claims environment - yet the shares aren't cheap
July 30, 2012

With no repeat of 2011's painful stream of catastrophe-related losses, Lloyd’s of London insurer Hiscox's combined ratio (of claims to premiums) bounced back to a profitable 81.7 per cent from last year's heavily lossmaking 116.9 per cent. That was helped by robust premium rate increases - as insurers scrambled to rebuild their reserves - although the shares are rated at a premium to the sector and already factor in that progress.

IC TIP: Hold at 442p

Hiscox's US property reinsurance book saw rates rise by more than 10 per cent in the first quarter, and then by up to 5 per cent in the second. Japanese earthquake rates have doubled since 2011's earthquake there, while Japanese wind rates grew 10-30 per cent at renewal in April. Non-catastrophe business remains soft, with Hiscox's other speciality book having seen generally flat rates, while those at its large casualty account remain under pressure.

Meanwhile, the investment book delivered a decent-looking annualised 3.1 per cent return - up from 2 per cent last year. Yet it remains focused on safe-looking bonds and cash, with just 6.1 per cent of the book in equity-related investments.

Broker Peel Hunt expects adjusted full-year pre-tax profit of £204m, giving EPS of 45p (from £17m and 5p in 2011), with net tangible assets (NTA) of £332.2m.

HISCOX (HSX)

ORD PRICE:444pMARKET VALUE:£1.74bn
TOUCH:443-444p12-MONTH HIGH:449pLOW: 335p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.0%PE RATIO:7
NET ASSET VALUE:339pCOMBINED RATIO:81.7%

Half-year to 30 JunNet premiums (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Investment return (£m)Dividend per share (p)
2011668-85.625.55.10
201270212644.76.00
% change+5-+75+18

Ex-div: 8 Aug

Payment: 19 Sep

Capacity owned: 73 per cent