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UBM makes China the main event

RESULTS: Another robust performance from UBM's events operation has offset weakness at the marketing and data services businesses
July 30, 2012

Double-digit revenue growth at UBM's events business offset tough conditions at the print marketing and data services businesses. Accordingly, operating profit rose 12.5 per cent year-on-year to £103.4m – that growth leaves the share price rating looking too modest.

IC TIP: Buy at 643p

Strong demand for technology events in the US, and rapid expansion in China, helped the events business grow revenues 31.6 per cent to £233m, with operating profits there up 29.6 per cent to 74.8m. Moreover, emerging markets reported revenue growth of 20 per cent and now generate over a third of total events sales. Chief executive David Levin expects events' underlying revenue growth to reach 12-14 per cent for the full-year – only slightly slower than the 16.7 per cent underlying growth seen in the first half.

Conditions elsewhere, however, were tougher. Print marketing revenue slumped 34 per cent to £39.4m and management says that declines here have been faster than anticipated. Moreover, after data services' revenue slipped 10.2 per cent to £90m, a strategic review of that business is on the cards.

Broker Numis Securities expects full-year pre-tax profit of £184.3m, giving EPS of 58p (£177.4m and 56.8p in 2011).

UBM (UBM)

ORD PRICE:643pMARKET VALUE:£1.58bn
TOUCH:641.5-643p12-MONTH HIGH:650pLOW: 407p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.2%PE RATIO:19
NET ASSET VALUE:154p*NET DEBT:132%

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201147462.220.56.3
201250970.122.76.7
% change+7+13+11+6

Ex-div: 24 Aug

Payment: 11 Oct

*Includes intangible assets of £1.24bn, or 506p a share