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Carillion expects turnover slippage

RESULTS: Careful contract selection has boosted margins at Carillion – but maintaining margins might prove difficult and turnover is expected to fall further
August 22, 2012

Carillion expects the first-half's turnover slippage to continue into the second half as the impact of downsizing its UK construction base more than offsets growth in the support services business. And even though half-year group underlying operating profit – adjusted for exceptionals – rose 8 per cent year-on-year to £80.7m, that backdrop leaves the shares looking up with events.

IC TIP: Hold at 273p

The group operating margin did rise to 4.1 per cent from 3.3 per cent as management focused on strict cost controls and a more selective approach to the contracts it bids for. The group order book held up well, too, at £18.3bn – although that's down from £19.1bn a year ago – and earnings visibility at the half-year stood at 92 per cent of anticipated revenue for the full year. The pipeline of contract opportunities rose to a record £35.6bn. And while construction services – excluding the Middle East – saw turnover fall by a third to £629.5m, underlying profits here rose 69 per cent to £25.9m. Meanwhile, support services turnover grew 6 per cent, most of which came from the full first-half contribution from Carillion Energy Services.

Peel Hunt expects full-year adjusted pre-tax profit of £211.5m and EPS of 42p (2011: £212m/42.7p).

CARILLION (CLLN)
ORD PRICE:273pMARKET VALUE:£1.17bn
TOUCH:273-274p12-MONTH HIGH:367pLOW: 234p
DIVIDEND YIELD:6.2%PE RATIO:7
NET ASSET VALUE:223p*NET DEBT:12%

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20112.4538.27.905.30
20122.1664.113.45.40
% change-12+68+70+2

Ex-div: 5 Sep

Payment: 7 Nov

*includes intangible assets of £1.53bn, or 356p a share