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Evraz profits slump

RESULT: Softening global steel demand has hit first-half returns for steel giant Evraz, and second-half prospects are uncertain.
August 31, 2012

Russian steel giant Evraz cheered shareholders via a substantial hike in its half-year dividend, but falling steel prices and softening global demand do not auger well for prospects through the remainder of this year.

IC TIP: Sell at 231p

Evraz recorded a 28 per cent fall in cash profits to $1.18bn (£747m), partly due to a 3 per cent fall in external steel sales volumes, but also reflecting softening demand in Evraz's main markets that led to a 3 per cent fall in average steel prices. A 12 per cent rise in selling and distribution costs, due to a change in sales terms in Russia, also impacted operating costs.

Net cash flow declined, too, falling almost a third to $1.09bn, but Evraz was still able to pay down $370m of debt since the year-end, while raising capital expenditure by a fifth to $565m, as the group accelerated the reconstruction of the rail mill at its West Siberian metallurgical plant. This work reduced sales volumes for the group's rail products due to a five-month production stoppage, which is scheduled to last until October. Second-half production volumes will also be negatively affected due to a one-month hiatus at EVRAZ Highveld Steel due to industrial unrest in South Africa.

Prior to these figures, JPMorgan Cazenove was forecasting full-year adjusted EPS of 29¢ (from 36¢ in 2011).

EVRAZ (EVR)
ORD PRICE:231pMARKET VALUE:£3.1bn
TOUCH:230-231p12-MONTH HIGH:465pLOW: 207p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.8%PE RATIO:30
NET ASSET VALUE:383¢*NET DEBT:114%

Half-year to 30 JuneTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20118.3847321.06.7
20127.6286-3.011.0
% change-9-82-+64

Ex-div: 5 Sep

Payment: 5 Oct

£1 = $1.58

*Includes intangible assets of $2.95bn, or 220¢ a share