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Ashmore treading water

RESULTS: Ashmore's successful emerging debt strategy is countered by a weak equity performance and the shares are likely to struggle to make much headway
September 11, 2012

Emerging markets asset manager Ashmore delivered a solid enough performance in the financial year to June, maintaining profit levels despite volatile trading conditions. However, a weak equity performance continued to offset a stronger performance from assets in emerging market debt.

IC TIP: Sell at 337p

Total assets under management (AUM) at the year-end fell 3 per cent to $65.8bn (£41.1bn) mainly as a result of a $3.4bn negative investment return, which offset a net $1.3bn inflow of funds. External debt and corporate debt segments both delivered a positive investment performance and net inflows, but these were countered by a weak equity performance - AUM slid from $10.1bn to $6.2bn, reflecting $2bn of net outflows and a $1.9bn negative investment return.

Inevitably, the poor investment return hit performance fees, which collapsed from £85.4m to £25.4m, but group profits held steady due to a 21 per cent increase in net management fee income to £303m. This reflected a higher level of average AUM held for much of the year, although margins did decline.

Peel Hunt is forecasting flat current-year adjusted pre-tax profits of £236m and EPS of 23.8p (£238m and 25.8p for 2012), following a 15 per cent downgrade in July.

ASHMORE (ASHM)
ORD PRICE:337pMARKET VALUE:£2.4bn
TOUCH:337-338p12-MONTH HIGH:413pLOW: 300p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.5%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:76p*NET CASH:£347m

Year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200824219621.012.0
200924616017.112.0
201028121723.913.0
201134324628.114.5
201233424326.615.0
% change-3-1-5+3

Ex-div: 7 Nov

Payment: 7 Dec

*Includes intangible assets of £98m, or 14p a share