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Sales boost for Wetherspoon

RESULTS: A summer of big events has meant robust sales growth for pub group JD Wetherspoon - but rising costs continue to leave profit margins under pressure
September 17, 2012

The Diamond Jubilee, Euro 2012, and the Olympics supported robust sales growth at pub group JD Wetherspoon. Like-for-like sales rose 3.2 per cent in the 12-month period while, in the six weeks since the July year-end, they've soared 8.4 per cent. But with profit margins under pressure, the shares look up with events.

IC TIP: Hold at 475p

Underlying bar sales rose 2.8 per cent, while underlying food sale grew 4.8 per cent. But rising costs are hurting - maintenance costs alone jumped 20 per cent to £44.6m - and the underlying operating margin fell from 9.5 per cent to 9 per cent. There was also a raft of one-off hits which held back reported profit by £13.5m, including a £7.8m impairment of pub assets and a £2.2m provision against onerous pub leases.

Wetherspoon's management says the price advantage enjoyed by supermarkets is another worry - especially the food-related 20 per cent VAT charge that pubs pay. And while 40 pubs were opened in the financial year, bringing the estate to 860, just 25 new openings are expected by July.

Broker Numis Securities has upped its forecast by 4 per cent and now expects current year pre-tax profit of £73.2m and EPS of 41.7p (2012: £72.4m and 41.3p).

JD WETHERSPOON (JDW)

ORD PRICE:482pMARKET VALUE:£607m
TOUCH:481-482p12-MONTH HIGH:490pLOW: 367p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.5%PE RATIO:14
NET ASSET VALUE:135pNET DEBT:312%

Year to 29 JulTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20080.9154.325.212.0
20090.9645.018.2nil
20101.0060.030.212.0
20111.0761.435.412.0
20121.2058.935.612.0
% change+12-4+1-

Ex-div: 24 Oct

Payment: 29 Nov