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Rains and currency effects hit New Britain

RESULTS: Profits for New Britain Palm Oil collapsed due to a combination of poor weather conditions, weakening producer prices, and negative currency effects.
February 27, 2013

Poor weather conditions, weakening producer prices, and negative currency effects combined to send full-year profits tumbling at New Britain Palm Oil (NBPO).

IC TIP: Hold at 512p

Persistent rains hampered the harvest at New Britain’s biggest production site in Papua New Guinea. This increased costs, and resulted in 148,000 fewer tonnes of fruit bunches being processed, which led to an 8 per cent decline in total oil production to 545,207 tonnes. Crude palm oil (CPO) prices were volatile throughout last year with a peak-to-trough range of $770-$1,195 (£510-£791) a tonne, so a fall of just 4 per cent in New Britain’s average price for CPO could be seen as relatively modest. However, average prices achieved for palm kernel oil were down by a quarter, and though the segment only accounts for 10 per cent of total oil production, it had a "significant impact" on performance. All told, group revenues from palm products were $138m lower than in 2011, although New Britain did manage to drive sugar sales by 9.6 per cent to $55.8m.

Group operating profits shrank by 70 per cent year-on-year to $14.9m, although the contraction is even more pronounced if you discount the effects of fair-value changes and one-off gains. The appreciation of the PNG Kina against the US dollar pushed up costs for local wages and services, and fed through into a collapse in the gross margin to 36.6 per cent (down from 50 per cent in 2011).

VSA Capital anticipate adjusted 2013 EPS of 27.98¢, subject to review post results.

NEW BRITAIN PALM OIL (NBPO)
ORD PRICE:507pMARKET VALUE:£761m
TOUCH:500-515p12-MONTH HIGH:903pLOW: 480p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.0%PE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:649¢NET DEBT:31%

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
200835228.814.728
2009324200.095.314
2010461376.5170.7nil
201178059.452.830
20126774.40.415*
% change-13-93-99-50

£1 = $1.51 *Interim dividend only